Dividend policy and volatility of the share price of brazilian publicly traded companies
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v10i4.14210Keywords:
Volatility; Dividend Policy; Brazilian capital market.Abstract
The objective of this study is to analyze the relationship between the dividend policy, based on two of its main measures - dividend yield and payout - and the volatility of the share price (VPA) in the Brazilian market in the period from 2010 to 2018: the final sample consisted of 357 companies listed on B3 (Brazil, Bolsa and Balcão). Two multiple linear regression models were used as methodology, with effects fixed and estimated by panel data. The results showed that the main variables of the dividend policy negatively influence the VPA, that is, given a reduction in the dividend yield or payment of dividends, there is an increase in the volatility of the share price of Brazilian companies. In addition, leverage has a positive relationship with VPA, while market value and company size have a negative relationship with the dependent variable. Profit volatility, however, was not statistically significant. The research contributes to the literature by exploring a topic that still has no consensus on the national scene, and has practical implications for investors and managers, as information on dividend yield and dividend payment can help them to analyze and execute more accurate strategies on the company's financial analysis and investment decision-making.
References
Al-Malkawi, Husam‐Aldin N. (2007). Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Jordan: an application of the Tobit model. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences., vol. 23 n. 2, pp. 44-70.
Alzomaia, T. S. F. & Al-Khadhiri, A. (2013). Determination of dividend policy: The evidence from Saudi Arabia. International Journal of Business and Social Science, v. 4, n. 1.
Ball, R. et al. (1979). Dividends and the value of the firm: evidence from the Australian equity market. Australian Journal of Management, v. 4, n. 1, p. 13-26.
Barberis, N., Huang, M. & Santos, T. (2001). Prospect theory and asset prices. The quarterly journal of economics, v. 116, n. 1, p. 1-53.
Baskin, J. (1989). Dividend policy and the volatility of common stocks. Journal of portfolio Management, v. 15, n. 3, p. 19.
Baum, C. F. (2006). An introduction to modern econometrics using Stata. Texas: Stata press.
Black, F. & Scholes, M. (1974). The effects of dividend yield and dividend policy on common stock prices and returns. Journal of financial economics, v. 1, n. 1, p. 1-22.
De Medeiros, O. R. & Van Doornik, B. F. N. (2008). A relação empírica entre dividendos, volatilidade de retornos e volume de negócios no mercado de ações brasileiro. BBR-Brazilian Business Review, v. 5, n. 1, p. 1-17.
De Pietro Neto, J., Decourt, R. F. & Galli, O. (2011). C. Proventos-A teoria da sinalização: variações de mercado. Revista de Administração FACES Journal, v. 10, n. 4, p. 150-168.
De Sousa, T. F. et al. (2018). Estudo bibliométrico sobre dividendos no Brasil. Capital Científico, v. 16, n. 3.
Elton, E. J. & Gruber, M. J. (1970). Marginal stockholder tax rates and the clientele effect. The Review of Economics and Statistics, p. 68-74.
Fama, E. F. et al. (1969). The adjustment of stock prices to new information. International economic review, v. 10, n. 1, p. 1-21.
Fávero, L. P. et al. (2009). Análise de dados: modelagem multivariada para tomada de decisões. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier.
Forti, C. A. B., Peixoto, F. M. & Alves, D. L. (2015). Fatores determinantes do pagamento de dividendos no Brasil. Revista Contabilidade & Finanças, v. 26, n. 68, p. 167-180.
Gordon, M. J. (1963). Optimal investment and financing policy. The Journal of finance, v. 18, n. 2, p. 264-272.
Haque, R., Jahiruddin, A. T. M. & Mishu, F. (2019). Dividend Policy and Share Price Volatility: A Study on Dhaka Stock Exchange. Australian Academy of Accounting and Finance Review, v. 4, n. 3, p. 89-99.
Hashemijoo, M., Ardekani, A. M. & Younesi, N. (2012). The impact of dividend policy on share price volatility in the Malaysian stock market. Journal of business studies quarterly, v. 4, n. 1.
Hooi, S. E., Albaity, M. & Ibrahimy, A. I. (2015). Dividend policy and share price volatility. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, v. 12, n. 1, p. 226-234.
Hussainey, K., Mgbame, C. O. & Chijoke-Mgbame, A. M. (2011). Dividend policy and share price volatility: UK evidence. The Journal of risk finance, v. 12, n. 1, p. 57-68.
Khan, F., Jan, SU e Khan, H. (2020). A política de dividendos determina a volatilidade do preço das ações? (Um estudo de caso do setor manufatureiro da Malásia). Journal Global Policy and Governance , 9 (1), 67-78.
Lashgari, Z. & Ahmadi, M. (2014). The impact of dividend policy on stock price volatility in the Tehran stock exchange. Kuwait Chapter of the Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, v. 3, n. 10, p. 273.
Leite, M., Bambino, A. C. & Hein, N. (2017). Relação entre política de dividendos e desempenho econômico financeiro em empresas brasileiras e chilenas. Revista de Gestão, Finanças e Contabilidade, v. 7, n. 1, p. 205-221.
Leroy, S. F. & Porter, R. D. (1981). The present-value relation: Tests based on implied variance bounds. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, p. 555-574.
Lintner, J. (1956). The distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings and taxes. The American Economic Review, v. 46.
Loss, L. & Sarlo Neto, A. (2003). Política de dividendos, na prática, é importante?. Revista Contabilidade & Finanças, v. 14, n. SPE, p. 39-53.
Martins, A. I. & Famá, R. (2012). O que revelam os estudos realizados no Brasil sobre política de dividendos?. Rae-Revista De Administracao De Empresas, v. 52, n. 1, p. 24-39.
Miller, M. & Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. The Journal of Business, vol. 34, n.4, pp. 411-433.
Phan, TKH e Tran, NH (2019). Política de dividendos e volatilidade do preço das ações em um mercado emergente: a estrutura de propriedade importa ?. Cogent Economics & Finance , 7 (1), 1637051. DOI: 10.1080 / 23322039.2019.1637051
Perobelli, F. F. C., Zanini, A. & Santos, A. B. (2009). Pagamento de proventos versus preços deações maduras e em expansão segundo Kohonen Maps. Revista de Administração de Empresas, v. 49, n. 2, p. 132-146.
Pettit, R. R. (1972). Dividend announcements, security performance, and capital market efficiency. The Journal of Finance, v. 27, n. 5, p. 993-1007.
Procianoy, J. L. & Poli, B. T. C. (1993). A política de dividendos como geradora de economia fiscal e do desenvolvimento do mercado de capitais: uma proposta criativa. Revista de Administração de Empresas, v. 33, n. 4, p. 06-15.
Procianoy, J. L & Verdi, R. S. (2009). Clientela em dividendos, novos elementos e novas questões: o caso brasileiro. RAE- eletrônica, v. 8, n. 1.
Procianoy, J. L & Verdi, R. S. (2003). O efeito clientela no mercado brasileiro: será que os investidores são irracionais? Revista Brasileira de Finanças, v. 1, n. 2, p. 217-242.
Rodrigues, D. R. et al. (2019). Determinantes Da Distribuição De Dividendos No Brasil: Uma Análise Entre Flexibilidade Financeira E Política De Distribuição De Resultados. Contabilidade Vista & Revista, v. 30, n. 2, p. 84-112.
Santos Marques, B., Perpétuo, A. A. G., & Rocha, D. M. (2020). Análise bibliométrica sobre os estudos de dividendos no Brasil. Research, Society and Development, 9(8), e463985658-e463985658.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. Journal of economic perspectives, v. 17, n. 1, p. 83-104.
Silva, C. P. & Machado, M. A. (2015). A Influência Da Política De Dividendos Sobre A Volatilidade Das Ações. Revista Contabilidade e Controladoria, v. 7, n. 3.
Wooldridge, J. M. (2016). Introductory econometrics: A modern approach. Nashville: Nelson Education.
Zainudin, R., Mahdzan, N. S. & Yet, C. H. (2018). Dividend policy and stock price volatility of industrial products firms in Malaysia. International Journal of Emerging Markets, v. 13, n. 1, p. 203-217.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2021 Arthur Antonio Silva Rosa; Flávia Barbosa de Brito Araújo; Pablo Rogers
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1) Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
2) Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
3) Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.