Indicadores de rendimento a serem explorados para vencer partidas da Premier League
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v12i5.41379Palavras-chave:
Futebol; Indicadores de rendimento; Valor de mercado; Mando de campo; Vencer partidas de futebol.Resumo
O futebol é um esporte coletivo dinâmico que envolve as ações dos jogadores em campo, além da disponibilidade e da aplicação de dados dos jogadores. Sendo um esporte extensivamente investigado em termos de análise de rendimento, ainda há uma necessidade de mais análises preditivas para um melhor entendimento dos indicadores de sucesso. Devido a estes aspectos, esta pesquisa objetivou verificar a influência do valor de mercado dos clubes de futebol, assim como a influência do mando de campo e de aspectos técnico-táticos – finalizações no gol, escanteios, cruzamentos, posse de bola e passes – para vencer partidas na Premier League. Para realizar esta pesquisa, dados das 380 partidas da PL 2015/2016 foram utilizados. O site do Transfermarkt foi utilizado para coletar o valor de mercado das equipes e o site do Daily Mail para coletar dados das partidas. A análise de dados foi realizada utilizando o software Weka. Os resultados apresentaram que valor de mercado e mando de campo, separados, não foram relevantes para a conquista de vitórias, mas ao estarem associados com indicadores técnico-táticos, ambos contribuíram para as vitórias das equipes. Equipes de conceito A, com maior valor de mercado, conquistaram mais vitórias que as equipes de conceito C, com menor valor de mercado, nas partidas em casa. Os resultados das análises mostram que ações de jogo direto e indireto são relevantes para que equipes vençam partidas em casa, especialmente para as equipes de maior valor de mercado.
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