Study on fitting probability models to survival data
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v11i5.28430Keywords:
Parameter estimation; Goodness of fit; Probability distribution.Abstract
In this article, probability distribution models known in the literature are used. The aim of the present study is to search some probability models with better fit in two specific data sets in survival analysis. The first one refers to the resistance of ball bearings, and the second to the period of successive failures of the air conditioning system of a fleet of Air Boeing aircraft. The estimation of the parameters is performed using the maximum likelihood method. An application to two data sets is given to illustrate the veracity of the fits. The distributions that showed great results were Exponentialized Exponential, Exponential Burr XII, Gdus Exponentialized and Dagum, for the first analysis. For the second analysis, the Exponentialized Weibull, Kumaraswamy Weibull, Kumaraswamy Burr XII and Dagum. The Akaike Information Criterion, Bayesian Information Criterion, Anderson Darling and Cramér von Mises are used as comparison measures. The analysis will be done with the help of the package (AdequacyModel) in the R software.
References
Aarset, M. V. (1987). How to identify a bathtub hazard rate. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 36(1):106–108.
Afify, A. Z. & Mead, M. (2017). On five-parameter burr xii distribution: properties and applications. South African Statistical Journal, 51(1):67–80.
Borges, Y. M., da Silva, B. G., de Melo, B. A. R., & da Silva, R. R. (2021). Evaluation of probability distributions in the analysis of minimum temperature series in Manaus–AM. Research, Society and Development, 10(3): e46210313616–e46210313616.
Burr, I. W. (1942). Cumulative frequency functions. The Annals of mathematical statistics, 13(2):215–232.
Casella, G. & Berger, R. L. (2010). Inferência estatística. Cengage Learning.
Cordeiro, G. M., Ortega, E. M., & Nadarajah, S. (2010). The kumaraswamy weibull distribution with application to failure data. Journal of the Franklin Institute, 347(8):1399–1429.
Dagum, C. (1977). A new model of personal income distribution, 1economié apliquée.
Dahiya, R. C. & Gurland, J. (1972). Goodness of fit tests for the gamma and exponential distributions. Technometrics, 14(3):791–801.
De Santana, T. V. F., Ortega, E. M., Cordeiro, G. M., & Silva, G. O. (2012). The kumaraswamy-log-logistic distribution. Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications, 11(3):265–291.
Gupta, R. C., Gupta, P. L., & Gupta, R. D. (1998). Modeling failure time data by lehman alternatives. Communications in Statistics-Theory and methods, 27(4):887–904.
Kundu, D. & Gupta, R. D. (2008). Generalized exponential distribution: Bayesian estimations. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 52(4):1873–1883.
Lawless, J. F. (2011). Statistical models and methods for lifetime data, volume 362. John Wiley & Sons.
Lee, C., Famoye, F., & Olumolade, O. (2007). Beta-weibull distribution: some properties and applications to censored data. Journal of modern applied statistical methods, 6(1):17.
Maurya, S., Kaushik, A., Singh, S., & Singh, U. (2017). A new class of distribution having decreasing, increasing, and bathtub-shaped failure rate. Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 46(20):10359–10372.
Nadarajah, S. (2006). The exponentiated gumbel distribution with climate application. Environmetrics: The official journal of the International Environmetrics Society, 17(1):13–23.
Nadarajah, S. & Gupta, A. K. (2007). The exponentiated gamma distribution with application to drought data. Calcutta Statistical Association Bulletin, 59(1-2):29–54.
Nadarajah, S. & Haghighi, F. (2011). An extension of the exponential distribution. Statistics, 45(6):543–558.
Pal, M., Ali, M. M., & Woo, J. (2006). Exponentiated weibull distribution. Statistica, 66(2):139–147.
Paranaíba, P. F., Ortega, E. M., Cordeiro, G. M., & Pascoa, M. A. d. (2013). The kumaraswamy burr xii distribution: theory and practice. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 83(11):2117–2143.
Paranaíba, P. F., Ortega, E. M., Cordeiro, G. M., & Pescim, R. R. (2011). The beta burr xii distribution with application to lifetime data. Computational statistics & data analysis, 55(2):1118–1136.
Proschan, F. (1963). Theoretical explanation of observed decreasing failure rate. Technometrics, 5(3):375–383.
Weibull, W. (1951). A statistical distribution function of wide applicability. Journal of applied mechanics.
Ximenes, P. d. S. M. P., da Silva, A. S. A., Ashkar, F., & Stosic, T. (2020). Ajuste de distribuições de probabilidade a precipitação mensal no estado de pernambuco–brasil. Research, Society and Development, 9(11):e4869119894–e4869119894.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Daniel Leonardo Ramírez Orozco
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
1) Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
2) Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
3) Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.